The Prophecy Meta Snapshot

By: ice_nine
View other Articles by ice_nine
Posted: 2 months ago, edited 2 weeks ago
+3
1. Introduction
Hi there, and welcome to the Prophecy Meta Snapshot! As a way of introduction: I am ice_nine, an Elder Scrolls: Legends player who has played many other TCGs and CCGs. This snapshot is my attempt to identify the Prophecies that see the most play in constructed in order to determine which Prophecies my opponents are most likely to get off of a broken rune. Next to every Prophecy I indicated the percentage of eligible decks in which the Prophecy is played (via legends-decks.com). I also included the meta decks in which it might see play, found by combing the deck lists provided by the latest Meta Snapshot from betweenthelanes.net. Note that I designed this article to be more of a breakdown of the popularity of Prophecies and not their power-level, although the more powerful Prophecies do tend to see more play.

The Prophecies are broken up into five tiers:

Tier 1: Ubiquitous. Sees play in just about every deck that has access to it, regardless of archetype (<75% of decks sampled). Getting these cards off of a rune break can swing tempo, often in seemingly unfair ways.

Tier 2: Played in most decks containing its attribute (<40% of decks sampled).

Tier 3: Sees some play (15-40% of decks sampled).

Tier 4: Sees very little play (5-15% of decks sampled).

Tier 5: Sees almost no play. (>5% of decks sampled).

At the end of this article I have grouped the prophecies together by attribute to provide a quick reference guide.
2. Tier 1
Lightning Bolt
87% of Intelligence decks
Sees play in: Midrange Sorcerer, Merric Battlemage, Aggro Battlemage, Item Sorcerer, Control Mage, Action Assassin, Wispmother Battlemage, Altar Assassin, Action Mage, Control Sorcerer

Piercing Javelin
83% of Willpower decks
Sees play in: Control Mage, Control Spellsword, Token Spellsword, Action Mage, Pilfer Monk

Fighters Guild Recruit
77% of Agility decks
Sees play in: Ramp Scout, Midrange Archer, Midrange Scout, Wrothgar Archer, Altar Assassin, Pilfer Monk

Lightning Bolt sits in the top spot, most likely due to its flexibility as either creature removal or direct damage to finish off an opponent. Piercing Javelin is very close behind as the best pure removal in the game, and Fighters Guild Recruit, a solid stall tool that can easily be played on curve, finishes off the top tier.
3. Tier 2
Shrieking Harpy
48% of Intelligence decks
Sees play in: Midrange Sorcerer, Merric Battlemage, Aggro Battlemage, Item Sorcerer, Control Mage, Action Assassin, Wispmother Battlemage, Altar Assassin, Action Mage, Control Sorcerer

Moonlight Werebat
43% of Agility decks
Sees play in: Midrange Scout, Action Assassin, Wrothgar Archer

Shrieking Harpy sits at the top of Tier 2, with Moonlight Werebat—still a good card despite the nerf—just below it. Harpy’s ability to affect the board the moment it is played (the one thing Moonlight Werebat lacks) most likely gives it the edge.
4. Tier 3
Morkul Gatekeeper
25% of Strength decks
Sees play in: Aggro Battlemage, Aggro Crusader, Wrothgar Archer, Aggro Warrior

Daring Cutpurse
37% of Agility decks
Sees play in: Midrange Archer, Midrange Scout, Action Assassin, Pilfer Monk

Midnight Sweep
35% of Endurance decks
Sees play in: Control Spellsword, Token Spellsword

Sharpshooter Scout
32% of Strength decks
Sees play in: Aggro Battlemage, Midrange Archer, Wispmother Battlemage

Mummify
28% of Endurance decks

Blacksap Protector
23% of Agility decks

Tyr
49% of Crusader decks

Fire Storm
21% of Intelligence decks
Sees play in: Control Mage

Healing Potion
19% of Willpower decks

Camlorn Sentinel
18% Intelligence decks
Sees play in: Item Sorcerer, Control Mage

Graystone Ravager
18% of Strength decks
Sees play in: Aggro Battlemage, Midrange Archer, Aggro Crusader, Aggro Warrior

Cast Out
16% of Strength decks
Sees play in: Aggro Battlemage, Wispmother Battlemage

Morkul Gatekeeper, the most popular Strength prophecy since its buff, sits at the top of Tier 3. Beyond that, Tier 3 is home to a glut of solidly-statted creatures played mainly for their ability to swing tempo if drawn off of a rune-break, as well as a few spells.
5. Tier 4
Fate Weaver
14% of Intelligence decks
Sees play in: Aggro Battlemge, Control Mage

Grahtwood Ambusher
13% of Strength decks
Sees play in: Aggro Battlemage

Fharun Defender
13% of Endurance decks
Sees play in: Control Spellsword

Loyal Housecarl
12% of Willpower decks
Sees play in: Control Mage

Dune Stalker
11% of Agility decks
Sees play in: Action Assassin, Pilfer Monk

Cloudrest Illusionist
9% of Willpower decks
Sees play in: Control Mage

Ransack
8% of Agility decks

Cursed Spectre
8% of Endurance decks

Lurking Mummy
7% of Endurance decks

Priest of the Moons
6% of Willpower decks
Sees play in: Control Spellsword

Tier 4 consists of cards whose effects are either highly variable (e.g., Fate Weaver), very situational, or underpowered.
6. Tier 5
Wisdom of Ancients
4% of Intelligence decks

Spider Worker
3% of All decks

Dark Harvester
2% of All decks

Frostbite Spider
2% of Endurance decks

Adoring Fan
2% of All decks

Sparking Spider
2% of All decks

Lurking Crocodile
2% of All decks

Portcullis
1% of All decks

Tier 5 is home to every Neutral Prophecy, plus a couple of stragglers from the main Attributes that can’t seem to find a home. Most are either overcosted enough to make them dead cards in hand if you draw them, or cards that don’t make enough of an impact on the board to warrant including them in a deck.
7. Prophecies by Attribute
Endurance

Tier 1:
No Cards

Tier 2:
No Cards

Tier 3:
Midnight Sweep-35% of decks
Mummify-28% of decks

Tier 4:
Fharun Defender-13% of decks
Cursed Spectre-8% of decks
Lurking Mummy-7% of decks

Tier 5:
Frostbite Spider-2% of decks

Agility

Tier 1:
Fighters Guild Recruit-77% of decks

Tier 2:
Moonlight Werebat-43% of decks

Tier 3:
Daring Cutpurse-37% of decks
Blacksap Protector-23% of decks

Tier 4:
Dune Stalker-11% of decks
Ransack-8% of decks

Tier 5:
No Cards

Willpower

Tier 1:
Piercing Javelin-83% of decks

Tier 2:
No Cards

Tier 3:
Healing Potion-19% of decks

Tier 4:
Loyal Housecarl-12% of decks
Cloudrest Illusionist-9% of decks
Priest of the Moons-6% of decks

Tier 5:
No Cards

Intelligence

Tier 1:
Lightning Bolt-87% of decks

Tier 2:
Shrieking Harpy-48% of decks

Tier 3:
Fire Storm-21% of decks
Camlorn Sentinel-18% of decks

Tier 4:
Fate Weaver-14% of decks

Tier 5:
Wisdom of Ancients-4% of decks

Strength

Tier 1:
No Cards

Tier 2:
No Cards

Tier 3:
Morkul Gatekeeper-25% of decks
Sharpshooter Scout-32% of decks
Graystone Ravager-18% of decks
Cast Out-16% of decks

Tier 4:
Grahtwood Ambusher-13% of decks

Tier 5:
No Cards
8. Conclusion
I do not view this snapshot as the last word on Prophecies, just as another tool that players can use to guide them in their play. I am happy to receive any feedback or criticism you may have in the comments below. I hope that you find this helpful. Happy laddering!

Changelog:
11/07: Moved Moonlight Werebat from Tier 1 to Tier 2. Added Morkul Gatekeeper to Tier 4.
11/08: Added Tyr to Tier 3.
12/12: Updated to reflect shifts in the Prophecy meta following the Werebat nerf. Moved Morkul Gatekeeper from Tier 4 to Tier 3.
1/3: Updated. Moved Grahtwood Ambusher from Tier 3 to Tier 4.

Share on:



4 Comments

MightyGorgon 2 months ago
Good job, it reminds me of the other article on prophecies, but with more stats (+ you could add Tyr too).

It should be added though, that the popularity is biased by the rarity of the cards too! That's why epic cards probably would have a higher percentage if they were commons (because newer players don't have access to them). This especially affects cards such as Moonlight Werebat, Loyal Housecarl and Cloudrest Illusionist, which imo should be at least one tier higher based solely on their effect.
1 Reply
ice_nine 2 months ago
I completely overlooked Tyr! Sorry... Will put him in on my next chance to edit.

I also should have been more clear in my article that this is less of a ranking of power level of the prophecies and more a ranking of which ones are played the most. The breakdowns at the bottom of each tier are just my attempt to explain why I think those cards see so much play. I wouldn't presume to think I know exactly which prophecies are most powerful, so I leaned more on the # of decks and meta decks they appeared in to make these rankings. I would like to say that I originally did have Moonlight Werebat in Tier 1 in my rough draft, but bumped him down following the announcement of the nerf. If it doesn't affect his playability he will probably go back up.
Valedan 2 months ago
Interesting read, friend.
TwoEagles 2 months ago
I expect gatekeeper will soon be tier 1-2.
Reply
You must be logged in to reply.
Please  Log In or  Register